Claim by Stephen Miller on X:
Stephen Miller posted on X that the “Big Beautiful Bill decreases total spending over the budget window by nearly $2 trillion”.
Explanation:
While proponents of the bill argue that it includes spending restraints, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) found otherwise. A May 2025 CBO report estimated that tax changes alone, including extensions of the 2017 tax law, would increase the federal deficit by $3.8 trillion between 2026 and 2034. The CBO has not provided an estimate for the bill’s overall net deficit impact.
The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) calculated that the bill would increase the deficit by $3.1 trillion over 10 years when including interest. The Penn Wharton Budget Model reached a similar conclusion, estimating an increase in primary deficits of $2.8 trillion, or $3.2 trillion when factoring in dynamic economic effects.
Howard Gleckman of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center told FactCheck.org the bill represents one of the largest peacetime debt increases in history.
Conclusion:
Fact or Fiction? Fiction. The claim that the “Big Beautiful Bill” reduces spending by $2 trillion is demonstrably false. Independent analyses show it would increase deficits by trillions.
Read More
- FactCheck.org: Checking the Math on White House, GOP Claims About Big Beautiful Bill
- Congressional Budget Office Report (PDF)
- CRFB Analysis (Archived)
- Penn Wharton Budget Model (Archived)
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