RIGHT-CENTER BIAS
These media sources are slight to moderately conservative in bias. They often publish factual information that utilizes loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by appeals to emotion or stereotypes) to favor conservative causes. These sources are generally trustworthy for information but may require further investigation. See all Right-Center sources.
- Overall, we rate Trafalgar Group Polling as Right-Center Biased based on polling that moderately favors the right. We also rate them as Mostly Factual pollsters based on a B+ rating in predictive polling.
Detailed Report
Bias Rating: RIGHT-CENTER (3.4)
Factual Reporting: MOSTLY FACTUAL (3.0)
Country: USA
MBFC’s Country Freedom Rating: MOSTLY FREE
Media Type: Organization/Foundation
Traffic/Popularity: Minimal Traffic
MBFC Credibility Rating: HIGH CREDIBILITY
History
Trafalgar Group Polling is a research organization based in Atlanta, Georgia. According to their about page, “From Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling results to candidates and businesses at all levels. We were named the best polling firm of 2016 presidential race, and this year, Real Clear Politics called us “the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.”
Read our profile on the United States media and government.
Funded by / Ownership
Trafalgar Group Polling is a privately owned company founded by Robert Cahaly, a former political consultant for the Republican Party. Revenue is generated through service sales.
Analysis / Bias
Trafalgar Group Polling conducts political research and polling on a wide range of topics, including elections. The website does not publish news. However, Trafalgar Group Polling has been criticized for favoring Republican candidates and inaccurately predicted numerous Republican wins in 2022, which did not happen. However, they made significant improvements in 2024.
Polling bias is assessed using Silver Bulletin’s mean-reverted bias metric. For Trafalgar Group, the mean-reverted polling bias is +1.83, indicating a moderate Republican lean. Under MBFC’s calibrated polling bias scale, a mean bias between +1.6 and +2.0 corresponds to a polling bias score of +4. Polling bias accounts for 70% of the final bias score, while editorial bias accounts for 30%.
Applying MBFC’s weighted formula:
(+4 × 0.70) + (+2 × 0.30) = +3.4
Based on MBFC’s bias classification scale, a final score of +3.4 places Trafalgar Group in the Right-Center category.
Factual reporting is rated Mostly Factual based on a Silver Bulletin grade of B+, indicating solid predictive accuracy and good methodological performance.
Failed Fact Checks
- None in the Last 5 years
Overall, we rate Trafalgar Group Polling as Right-Center Biased based on polling that moderately favors the right. We also rate them as Mostly Factual pollsters based on a B+ rating in predictive polling. (D. Van Zandt 09/06/2024) Updated (02/23/2026)
Source: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
Last Updated on February 23, 2026 by Media Bias Fact Check
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Left vs. Right Bias: How we rate the bias of media sources