Trafalgar Group Polling – Bias and Credibility

Trafalgar Group Polling - Right-Center Bias - Conservative - Republican - Not CredibleFactual Reporting: Mixed - Not always Credible or Reliable


RIGHT-CENTER BIAS

These media sources are slight to moderately conservative in bias. They often publish factual information that utilizes loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by appeals to emotion or stereotypes) to favor conservative causes. These sources are generally trustworthy for information but may require further investigation. See all Right-Center sources.

  • Overall, we rate Trafalgar Group Polling as Right-Center Biased based on polling that moderately favors the right. We also rate them as Mixed Factual pollsters based on a 0.7-star rating in predictive polling. 

Detailed Report

Bias Rating: RIGHT-CENTER (3.6)
Factual Reporting: MIXED (5.0)
Country: USA
MBFC’s Country Freedom Rating: MOSTLY FREE
Media Type: Organization/Foundation
Traffic/Popularity: Minimal Traffic

MBFC Credibility Rating: MEDIUM CREDIBILITY

History

Trafalgar Group Polling is a research organization based in Atlanta, Georgia. According to their about page, “From Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling results to candidates and businesses at all levels. We were named the best polling firm of 2016 presidential race, and this year, Real Clear Politics called us “the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.”

Read our profile on the United States media and government.

Funded by / Ownership

Trafalgar Group Polling is a privately owned company founded by Robert Cahaly, a former political consultant for the Republican Party. Revenue is generated through service sales.

Analysis / Bias

Trafalgar Group Polling conducts political research and polling on a wide range of topics, including elections. The website does not publish news. However, Trafalgar Group Polling has been criticized for favoring Republican candidates and inaccurately predicted numerous Republican wins in 2022, which did not happen.

FiveThirtyEight, an expert on measuring and rating pollster performance, has evaluated 134 polls by Trafalgar, earning 0.7 stars for accuracy, indicating they are Mixed Factual by MBFC’s criteria. They also conclude that their polling Moderately favors the Right with a score of -2.4, which equates to a Right-Center polling bias. In general, Trafalgar is considered moderately accurate and demonstrates a right-leaning bias in polling.



Failed Fact Checks

  • None in the Last 5 years

Overall, we rate Trafalgar Group Polling as Right-Center Biased based on polling that moderately favors the right. We also rate them as Mixed Factual pollsters based on a 0.7-star rating in predictive polling.  (D. Van Zandt 09/06/2024) Updated (11/27/2024)

Source: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/

Last Updated on November 27, 2024 by Media Bias Fact Check


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Left vs. Right Bias: How we rate the bias of media sources

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