Fact Check: Did the Trump administration cause the large 2025 decline in violent crime and murder?

Media Bias Fact Check (MBFC) publishes daily vetted fact checks from verified IFCN-approved sources. Each claim is independently reviewed for accuracy and context.

Claimant: Several Republican speakers

Claim: The Trump administration caused the large 2025 drop in violent crime and the historically low murder rate.

Rating: MISLEADING

Explanation: Violent crime and murder did decline sharply in 2025, but the decrease continued a broader decline that had already been underway for several years. Criminologists say many factors may be contributing, and available evidence does not establish that Trump administration policies caused the decline.

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Date: 09/15/2026

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Last Updated on September 15, 2026 by Media Bias Fact Check

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