According to today’s Real Clear Politics Poll Average Hillary Clinton holds a 6.7% lead over Donald Trump in a 2 person race. In a 4 person race Clinton holds a 5.3% lead. In the most recent poll conducted by LA Times/USC Tracking they are tied at 44% each. This is a huge contrast to the Fox News poll conducted on October 12 that showed Clinton with an 8 point advantage. It should be noted that the LA Times/USC Tracking Poll had a sampling 3 times larger than the Fox News Poll.
Here is a breakdown of the current RCP averages for the Battleground States. Clinton holds a huge advantage in these critical states.
Battlegrounds   |
Clinton | Trump | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 45.3 | 42.4 | Clinton +2.9 |
| Ohio | 44.0 | 42.4 | Clinton +1.6 |
| Pennsylvania | 47.3 | 39.0 | Clinton +8.3 |
| New Hampshire | 43.3 | 39.7 | Clinton +3.6 |
| North Carolina | 45.0 | 42.1 | Clinton +2.9 |
| Iowa | 38.0 | 41.7 | Trump +3.7 |
| Nevada | 43.8 | 42.3 | Clinton +1.5 |
Looking at the electoral college map it shows that Clinton currently has 256 Electoral votes locked up and Trump 170. There are currently 112 electoral votes that are a toss-up. At this time Clinton is leading in most Toss-up states.
Conclusion: As of now Clinton has a clear path to winning the election and Donald Trump has a very narrow path. Things can change over the next few weeks, especially in the Battleground States where many of the polls are within the margin of error.
Source: Website – Real Clear Politics
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